I thought I might talk a little bit more about the electoral map, since the popular vote doesn't matter in presidential elections (just ask Al Gore). In case you're interested, I've posted my prediction below. I made this map a few months ago. I was tempted to change it when McCain got his act together over the summer, but I still don't think he'll be able to fend off Obama in many of the swing states.
In fact, I think this election may be remarkably unremarkable. If the 18-21 age group actually shows up to vote, it could swing the election in a big way. And in a way that the polls wouldn't predict.
Think about it. Do you have a landline in your dormroom or apartment at school? I doubt it. And have you ever gotten a call from a pollster on your cell phone? I also highly doubt it. So if pollsters can't reach the 18-21 age group, and that group breaks heavily towards Obama (as it probably will), it could be a game-changer.
I think election night may end pretty early. McCain won't have a chance in some so-called swing states like Pennsylvania, and Obama has a realistic shot at stealing Virginia, Ohio, and/or North Carolina from the Republicans. If that happens, we'll all be in bed before 11pm Eastern time on election night, and Obama will have crushed McCain and earned over 300 electoral votes.
I'm just saying, considering the youth vote and the pro-Democrat political environment - it's possible.
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